Background

Motivation

Predicting the path of typhoons is important in preparing for disasters. However, it is difficult to predict the path accurately because typhoons move under the influence of many weather factors. Typhoon Soulik had a big difference in the path between the 8/22 and 8/23. The typhoon moved farther east than expected. Through this project, we are trying to find out what variables have made the difference in Soulik's expected path. The purpose of the project is to improve accuracy in predicting typhoons in the future by investigating which variables affect these routes.

Goals

Our goal is to make the model of the path of Soulik and Cimaron by using WRF(Weather Research and Forecast). In this process, various weather variables such as temperature, precipitation, sea level pressure, and geopotential height will be changed to analyze how each weather variables affected Soulik’s path. Then we will compare with the Soulik’s real path and find what variables caused the difference between Soulik’s expected path on 8/22, 2018 and it on 8/23.